What Is a “Manifold” and How Do I Read This 3D Map?
In everyday terms, a manifold is simply a smooth curved surface—like a topographical terrain map or a stretched safety net. Because large counties naturally have more apartments, more mail forwardings, and larger polling places than small rural counties, a single flat threshold would unfairly penalize larger counties. The sky-blue baseline net curves upward with county population to show what is normal for a county of any size.
- 01 · The Sky-Blue Net
Normal Baseline (64 of 82 Counties)
Counties marked with a neutral circle (●) sit on the sky-blue net. Their address, mail, and precinct counts are normal for their population size.
- 02 · Vertical Height Stems
Extra Cleanup Work (18 Counties)
When a county rises above the net on a marigold-amber dashed stem, the height of that line shows how much extra cleanup work remains compared to peers.
- 03 · Shape + Color Key
Colorblind-Safe Task Shapes
Every category has its own geometric shape and gradient: ◆ Diamond = All 3 areas; ■ Square = Addresses (X); ▲ Triangle = Mail/Dups (Y); ⬢ Hexagon = Precincts (Z).
Hinds County, MS
Primary Focus: Compound Multi-Variable Convergence
- Registered Voters
- 173,149
- ■ 8+ Voter Addresses
- 431
- ▲ Out-of-State / Dups
- 355 / 203
- ⬢ 3,000+ Precincts
- 8
Which Cleanup Steps Solve Two Problems at Once?
We compared every county's numbers side by side on a simple −1.00 to +1.00 connection scale (where +1.00 means two issues always move together). Here is what that means for your office:
- +0.05Little or no link
Do counties with more movers also have more duplicate records? (Out-of-state mail vs. same-ZIP duplicates (both per 1,000 voters))
Straight-line fit: +1 out-of-state mailing per 1,000 voters goes with +0.01 duplicate pairs per 1,000 voters. No clear pattern once county size is taken into account. Treat these as separate tasks rather than expecting one fix to solve both.
- +0.85Very strong positive link
Do bigger counties have more crowded addresses? (County size vs. addresses with 8+ voters)
Straight-line fit: about 14.2 more 8+ voter addresses for every 10,000 additional registered voters. Raw counts mostly track county size. That is why this report separates campuses, care homes and apartment complexes before showing single-family homes.
- +0.05Little or no link
Do counties with more Inactive voters have more crowded addresses? (Inactive share vs. voters at 8+ voter addresses (per 1,000 voters))
Statewide, 14.9% of voters at 8+ voter addresses are already marked Inactive. No clear pattern once county size is taken into account. Treat these as separate tasks rather than expecting one fix to solve both.
- -0.10Little or no link
Do counties with crowded precincts also have more out-of-state mail? (Precincts over 3,000 voters vs. out-of-state mail (both size-adjusted))
Counties with 5 or more precincts over 3,000 voters (9 counties) hold 31.6% of active out-of-state mailings. No clear pattern once county size is taken into account. Treat these as separate tasks rather than expecting one fix to solve both.
- +0.21Weak positive link
Why the map uses three directions instead of one score (Address score (X) vs. mail & duplicate score (Y))
The two scores overlap only partly, so a single combined number would hide which task a county needs. Looking at addresses, mail moves and precinct size separately shows each county's own to-do list.
How to share these findings with your county
Plain steps for talking with your Board of Supervisors, Circuit Clerk and neighboring counties.
- STEP 01
Start with what checked out
Every past ballot record matched a registered voter. Lead with that, then explain that ordinary buildings and Jr./Sr. families were filtered out before any list was made.
- STEP 02
Find your county's main task
Use the 3D map or the county table to see whether addresses, mail moves or precinct size drives your county's score.
- STEP 03
Compare with similar counties
Bring the 82-county table to your next district meeting. 64 counties sit in the normal range for their size; the rest each have one main task.
Recommended Checklist: Send address-confirmation notices to active voters with out-of-state mail; review same-ZIP duplicate pairs.
Recommended Checklist: Work with campus housing and apartment managers to add room and unit numbers.
Recommended Checklist: Review precincts over 3,000 voters for splits or extra poll-book stations.